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| COVID-19, Posts and direct marketing
The USPS Marketing Mail category is typically used for
direct advertising to multiple delivery addresses and
may include advertising, newsletters, catalogs, small
marketing parcels, and other printed matter. Revenue
from Marketing Mail was
$13.9 billion, $2.1 billion below the planned amount, due
to lower-than-expected volume, and the vast majority
of this shortfall occurred in the second half of FY 2020.
In Quarter 3 for example, when compared to same
quarter last year, Marketing Mail revenue declined by
37.2 percent and volume declined by 36.4 percent.
The declines experienced in FY 2020 were signicantly
exacerbated by the eects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
For the three months ended December 31, 2020 (i.e.,
Quarter 1 of FY 2021), Marketing Mail revenue decreased
$246 million, or 5.6%, and volume declined 788 million
pieces, or 3.9%, compared to the same period last
year. For the three months ended December 31, 2020,
revenue and volume from political and election mail
increased by nearly $400 million and more than 2.3
billion pieces compared to the same period last year,
due to the mailings associated with the 2020 general
election. If not for the positive impact of political and
election mail, Marketing Mail revenue and volume would
have decreased by an even greater extent for the three
months ended December 31, 2020, reective of the
continuing migration to digital and mobile advertising
that has been accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Looking to FY 2021, USPS Marketing Mail volume is
expected to decline by approximately 9.5 billion pieces
compared to FY 2020, the remaining decrease primarily
due to increased competition from electronic media and
the ongoing eect of the pandemic. Marketers continue
to leverage technology to better target customers and
increase their investment in digital advertising at the
expense of hard-copy media, and the pandemic appears
to have accelerated this trend. The pandemic had an
immediate, signicant, negative impact on Marketing
Mail volume beginning in mid-March 2020, although
volume recovered somewhat later in the year, driven by
increased amounts of political and election mail.
Nonetheless, USPS Marketing Mail continues to provide
proven value and return on investment. The Postal
Service intends to continue eorts to further improve
the value of USPS Marketing Mail by enhancing it with
innovations such as Informed Delivery®.
As noted, customer usage of postal services continues to
shift to substitute products and digital communication,
a trend that has been further exacerbated by the
COVID-19 pandemic as more businesses have had to
operate remotely due to quarantines, shelter-in-place
orders, and travel restrictions. However, given the
uncertainty of the COVID-19 pandemic, the long-term
impact on these shifts is unclear. First-Class Mail, such as
the presentment and payment of bills, has been eroded
by competition from electronic media, driven by some
of our major commercial mailers that actively promote
the use of online services. Marketing Mail has recently
experienced declines due to mailers’ growing use of
digital advertising including digital mobile advertising.
The volume of our Periodicals service continues to
decline as consumers increasingly use electronic media
for news and information. Periodicals advertising has
also experienced a decline as a result of the move to
electronic media.
Shipping and Packages normally experiences its highest
volume during our rst quarter each year, but in 2020,
the surge in electronic commerce (ecommerce) due
to the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in much higher
Shipping and Packages volume during each of our third
and fourth scal quarters than during our rst quarter.
While this surge may subside as the economy reopens,
we believe that ecommerce will remain increasingly
popular with consumers, which will sustain elevated
demand into the future for our Shipping and Packages
services compared to prior years. We therefore expect
our previous Shipping and Packages seasonal trends to
resume after the pandemic fully subsides.
Despite increased uncertainty, the Postal Service
continued to proactively target opportunities to grow
its business. The Postal Service continued to focus on
its customers’ needs and has increased its investment
in mail and package innovation. The Postal Service
anticipates that the volume of First-Class Mail will
continue to decline in future years with the ongoing
migration to electronic communication and transactional
alternatives resulting from technological changes. To
address the long-term trend that such changes have
had on First-Class Mail revenue and volume, the Postal
Service has focused on providing new services and
innovations with USPS Marketing Mail. The Postal Service
has expanded service oerings, such as Informed
Delivery, which enables customers to preview mail and
packages scheduled to arrive, as a means of merging
digital and physical mail.