look at the impacts of public investment. Newman and Owens
find that the average annual rate of displacement between 1970
and 1977 was roughly 5 percent of all families that moved.
In measuring various forms of displacement in New York
City in the 1970s, Marcuse (1986 ) ex amines disinvestment-
related displacement from abandonment by looking at census
data on the loss of units. He argues that the actual loss under-
estimates the displacement from abandonment due to the spil-
lover effects from vacant property on neighborhood livability
conditions. In addition to abandonment, he quantifies displace-
ment from rehabilitation of multifamily units, the loss of single
room occupancy units, changes in rent, condominium conver-
sions, and landlord harassment. Despite potential duplication
between the various categories, he estimates a range of 40,000
to 100,000 annual displacement-related household moves in
the 19 70s, roughly 8 percent to 21 percent of the estimated
476,011 total moves in New York City in 1979.
In a series of quantitative and qualitative analyses for New
York City, Newman and Wyly classify displacement as
households that move for reasons of housing expense, land-
lord harassment, and displacement by private action (i.e.,
condo conversion). Looking at unique survey data from the
New York City Housing and Vacancy Sur ve y, they find t hat
between 6 percent and 10 percent of all moves in New York
City from 1989 to 2002 were due to displac ement. Th ey argue
that this number could be a signifi cant underestimate due to
the inabi lity of survey data to capture “doubling up,” home-
lessness, or moves out of the region.Furthermore,theyfind
that neighborhood context mattered; for instance, more than
15 percent of all renters movin g into the W illiamsburg/Green-
point neighborhood in Brookly n were displaced from their
previous homes, wherea s less than 4 percent of arrivals in the
Flatlands/Canarsie section of Brooklyn were dis plac ed. In a
subsequent analysis, Wyly et al. (2010) again look at New
York housi ng survey data, a nd when comparing their results
to local eviction data, estimate that the survey misses twelve
of the thirteen displ ac ee s. They a lso fin d that poo r hous eho lds
were nearly twice as likely to be displaced as nonpoor
households.
Finally, in their survey of renters in Milwaukee, WI, Des-
mond and Shollenberger (2015) find that more than one in eight
Milwaukee renters experienced at least one forced move (for-
mal or informal eviction, landlord foreclosure, or building con-
demnation) over a two-year time period. The rates differed by
race/ethnicity; they found that 8 percent of white renters, 15
percent of black renters, and 29 percent of Hispa nic renters
experienced forced moves. Nearly half of all forced moves
were informal evictions. Formal evictions, on the other hand,
were less common, constituting less than one-quarter of forced
moves. Out of all moves in the previous year, they find that
roughly 11 percent were due to displacement. In contrast, the
American Housing Survey (AHS) of 2009 estimates between 2
percent and 5 percent of moves were due to displacement.
Desmond and Shollenberg er argue that th e AHS undere sti-
mates displacement due to open-ended questions that do not
adequately capture informal evictions.
Together, these studies demonstrate the complexity of ade-
quately quantifying the scale of the displacement phenomenon.
Nevertheless, researchers find that roughly between 5 percent
and 10 percent of moves are due to reasons beyond a house-
hold’s control, which can vary substantially between neighbor-
hoods and socioeconomic groups.
Gentrification-induced Residential
Displacement
The vast majority of research on displacement has focused on
displacement as an outcome of neighborhood revitalization,
upgrading, and/or gentrification. Both the methods and the
definitions of gentrification and displacement in these studies
range as widely as those identified above. Here, we review this
set of studies, with an aim to understand their differences and
inability to conclusively establish the relationship between
gentrification and displacement.
Early on, researchers focus on surveying people who moved
into and out of revitalizing neighborhoods, examining neigh-
borhoods experiencing increased private and/or public invest-
ment. In a 1981 survey of current and former res idents
(National Institute for Advanced Studies 1981) of the rapidly
revitalizing Hayes Valley neighborhood of San Francisco,
researchers find that from 1975 to 1979, one out of four movers
(both out- and intramovers) from their sample were displaced.
Displacees were more likely to be African American, less edu-
cated, poor, renters, elderly, and living alone in comparison to
in-movers and residents who stay. Researchers also find that
displacees moved out for a variety of reasons including
investment-related causes (e.g., rising rent) but also
disinvestment-related reasons (e.g., poor housing quality), call-
ing into question both the direction and timing of the relation-
ships between neighborhood revitalization, disinvestment, and
displacement. In a related study, Schill, Nathan, and Persaud
(1983) surveyed out-movers from nine revitalizing neighbor-
hoods in five cities. They find that 23 percent of out-movers
from 1978 to 1980 were displaced. Overcrowding, frequency
of previous moves, unemployment, and marital status predicted
displacement. Despite the high rates of displacement, the authors
acknowledge the potential for undersampling of the most vul-
nerable and more transient households.
In London, Atkinson (2000) defines gentrification by
increases in professionalization in the city’s boroughs without
regard to private or public investment. Using synthetic
cohorts of census data, he finds clear links between the rise
in gentrification and displacement of vulnerable groups in
London. Analyzing similarly large areas for Boston, Vigdor,
Massey, and Rivlin (2002) ask whether low-status households
were more likely to exit housing units in gentrifying areas
relative t o other p arts of the Boston metropolitan a rea. Com-
bining data from the AHS with aggregate data from the cen-
sus, they ran a regression of residential stability on location in
gentrified zones (defined by demographic characteristics of
the r esidents, and not private or public investment flows).
They find that housing turnover was greater in gentrifying
36 Journal of Planning Literature 33(1)